FONT13 KNHC 311442
PWSAT3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X  88(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X  58(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  8  76(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  5   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

BURGEO NFLD    34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SYDNEY NS      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$