WTPZ21 KNHC 211438
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FAUSTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062026
1500 UTC TUE JUL 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 118.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 65NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 140SE 120SW  50NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 105SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 118.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 118.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.8N 119.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 110SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.2N 121.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 123.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 125.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.2N 127.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.6N 130.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.5N 135.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.3N 140.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 118.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$